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                <identifier>oai:data.mendeley.com/w4gwbbpxhk.1</identifier>
                <datestamp>2026-04-08T03:56:59Z</datestamp>
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            <metadata><oai_dc:dc xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
    <dc:creator>Delardas, Orestis</dc:creator>
    <dc:title>Shale Mechanism Data: Oil-Directed Drilling, Associated Gas, and Henry Hub Dynamics (1998–2025)</dc:title>
    <dc:publisher>Mendeley Data</dc:publisher>
    <dc:description>This dataset supports the manuscript “Shale Mechanism: Oil Incentives, Associated Gas, and Henry Hub Dynamics.”

It contains the full data architecture used to estimate a mechanism-first econometric framework linking oil incentives to natural gas prices through delayed drilling and associated gas production in oil-directed basins.

The dataset includes:

Raw source files from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), rig counts, and price benchmarks
Processed monthly panels used for econometric estimation (1998–2025)
Basin-level datasets distinguishing oil-directed and gas-directed production regions
Derived variables including associated-gas aggregates, storage flows, and system-state controls
Feature matrices used in the machine-learning screening stage
Supporting documentation, including variable definitions and methodological structure

The analytical framework tests a conditional transmission chain:
oil prices → delayed drilling → oil-directed associated gas → Henry Hub

The dataset enables full reproducibility of:

Descriptive timing and correlation analysis
Distributed-lag drilling models
Basin-level associated-gas estimation
Henry Hub econometric models
Cointegration and restricted VECM long-run analysis
Machine-learning screening and translation-back models

Forecast periods present in raw EIA files are excluded from the historical identification sample. The final econometric sample runs from January 1998 to December 2025.</dc:description>
    <dc:subject>Econometrics</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Energy Economics</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Machine Learning Algorithm</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Europe</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>United States of America</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Liquefied Natural Gas Market</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Natural Gas Market</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Natural Gas Drilling</dc:subject>
    <dc:subject>Shale Gas</dc:subject>
    <dc:type>Dataset</dc:type>
    <dc:identifier>doi:10.17632/w4gwbbpxhk.1</dc:identifier>
    <dc:identifier>oai:data.mendeley.com/w4gwbbpxhk.1</dc:identifier>
    <dc:rights>Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International</dc:rights>
    <dc:rights>http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0</dc:rights>
    <dc:relation>https://data.mendeley.com/datasets/w4gwbbpxhk</dc:relation>
    <dc:date>2026-04-08T03:56:59Z</dc:date>
</oai_dc:dc></metadata>
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