Prediction Market Analysis for Accuracy

Published: 9 November 2020| Version 2 | DOI: 10.17632/3wtx4f943y.2
Contributor:
Thomas Wolfram

Description

Based on datasets from the Good Judgment Project (part of the IARPA forecasting tournament run from September 2011 to June 2015 ) further analysis was conducted with a focus on prediction market accuracy. The analysis happened with the help of R, a free software environment for statistical computing and graphics.

Files

Steps to reproduce

Use the code uploaded and the Excel file provided plus the data in the Good Judgment Project Dataverse from Harvard University