Crime by county in NC

Published: 16 April 2020| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/4x8f498v3w.1
Joe Fowler


This paper explores the Crime Kuznets curve in North Carolina counties since the Great Recession. As county GDP has risen, crime has followed an inverted U-shaped pattern where first increasing then dropping. This is in congruence with the Rational choice theory formed by Gary Becker. The importance of this paper is threefold. First, showing the fixed and time fixed effects estimations furthers the research into determinants of reducing crime. Two, testing for the inverse U-shaped of by county GDP while controlling for population. Third, a Geo-spatial analysis for spillover effect that tries to control for shifting criminal behavior from area to area.