The AI Bubble and the Fragile Classroom: Systems Thinking, Cascading Risks, and the Future of Education

Published: 5 May 2026| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/7f58ptgyr9.1
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Artificial intelligence has become one of the defining forces of the present decade, yet the scale of enthusiasm surrounding it has also revived an older question in technology history: are we witnessing durable transformation, or are we living through a speculative bubble? This article examines the idea of the “AI bubble” through a question-and-answer structure and places special attention on what the issue means for the education sector. Rather than treating the bubble conversation as a purely financial concern, the discussion argues that hype, boom, bust, and policy lag are already affecting schools, universities, teachers, and students. In this article, DVUCA is used as a practical adaptation of the established VUCA framework to emphasize digitally amplified volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity in contemporary education.

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Artificial Intelligence, Education, Access to Education

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