Data for "Persistence of the Armed Conflict in Colombia: an Agreement without Peace"

Published: 3 April 2023| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/gbyrkxhz8t.1


This data is related to the study "Persistence of the Armed Conflict in Colombia: an Agreement without Peace". This research analyses the armed conflict persistence in Colombia from 2008 to 2018 based on the viability hypothesis. To explore this phenomenon, a quantitative methodology is implemented in two steps. Firstly, non-parametric Kaplan-Meier functions and survival risk functions are developed as initial approximation. Subsequently, a Probit model with panel data is implemented and the covariates are grouped into four dimensions to determine the factors that affect the conflict persistence likelihood: opportunity, grievance, institutional and political. The main findings indicate that the viability hypothesis boosts the continuity of the armed conflict, which is enhanced and perpetuated by the viability and financial incentives from public revenues and natural resources, while the grievance, political fragmentation and institutional dimensions contribute to the opportunity structure in Collier that makes the conflict militarily and economically viable in Colombia.



Universidad del Cauca


Economics, Political Science, Conflict Studies, Colombia