Demographic forecast of the population of Kazakhstan

Published: 12 January 2023| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/nchwcsdsk3.1
Zaure Chulanova, Lazat Spankulova


This material summarizes the data on the population of Kazakhstan. A brief description of the population from the 1990s - the time when the republic gained independence, to the present time is given. Population size and structure forecasts are developed based on the analysis of trends in demographic processes, their cause-and-effect relationships with socio-economic processes. Thus, the calculations take into account the mortality rates observed in 2020-2021 in connection with COVID-19. The results obtained include data on the total population of Kazakhstan, gender distribution, age structure of the population, as well as data on fertility and mortality (including infant mortality) for the period from 2022 to 2100. The data of the prospective population of Kazakhstan based on the indicators of natural and mechanical movement of the population, the exponential curve and the average growth coefficient, respectively, for the period 2020-2050 are presented.