Data for: Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda
Published: 2 October 2018| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/p52zbvpz4p.1
Jonathan J. Forster,
Peter W. F. Smith
The archive file contains data on opinion polls on Scottish independence referendum (2014) and EU membership referendum (2016). It also contains R code, JAGS model and OpenBUGS code used to estimate the model parameters and forecasts of the outcome of the referendum.
The University of Manchester
Public Opinion, Forecasting, Statistical Modeling, Referendum, Bayesian Inference