A Swing-State Theorem, with Evidence: Ma, McLaren, and Chalak.
Published: 21 November 2025| Version 2 | DOI: 10.17632/rdzhyym2pj.2
Contributors:
, , Description
Replication files for "A Swing-State Theorem, with Evidence," by Xiangjun Ma, John McLaren, and Karim Chalak. The paper uses data on US trade, tariffs, production structure, and state political outcomes to test the hypothesis that US tariffs are set in such a way as to place extra social-welfare weight on people who live in swing states. A full description is in the paper, forthcoming in the Journal of International Economics. The working paper is: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4848976 Full instructions for replication are in the Readme file.
Files
Steps to reproduce
All instructions for replication are in the Readme file.
Institutions
- University of VirginiaVA, Charlottesville
- Liaoning UniversityLiaoning, Shenyang
- The University of ManchesterManchester, Manchester
Categories
International Trade, Political Economy, Tariffs
Funders
- Bankard Fund for Political Economy at the University of Virginia
- National Social Science Fund of ChinaGrant ID: Major Project, Approval Number 23&ZD047
- National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaBeijing, ChinaGrant ID: KeyProject, Project Number 72533005