Money Supply, House Price and the Stock Market Dynamics in China: Evidence from a TVP-VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility

Published: 01-08-2019| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/w34rgh6zgr.1
Yun Hong,
Yi Li


The house price data are collected from the official website of China's National Bureau of Statistics . We acquired the month-on-month growth data of the house price for 70 large and medium-sized representative cities in China since January 2006, then compiled the composite house price index (Houidx) based on January 2006 as 100. We use the Shanghai stock exchange composite index (SSEI) to measure the stock market price level, and the seasonal adjusted broad money M2 (M2) to proxy for the money supplying, both indexes are collected from the Wind database. The monthly house price shock (hous), stock price change (ssei) or the money supply growth (m2) are calculated as (ln(Idxt) - ln(Idxt-1))×100, where Index are the Houidx, SSEI or M2, correspondingly. 158 observations from February 2006 to March 2019 are obtained.