The misprediction of affectionate: Negative evaluations following a failed romantic pursuit are less severe than expected

Published: 5 March 2026| Version 3 | DOI: 10.17632/2t2ygsghgd.3
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1. Study Overview This research investigates the cognitive and evaluative biases that occur when individuals (pursuers) engage in high emotional investment romantic pursuits that end in rejection. Through five scenario-based online experiments, we examined how pursuers predict evaluations from targets (the person being pursued) and bystanders, compared to the actual evaluations received. 2. Hypotheses H1: High emotional investment during romantic pursuit leads to more positive evaluations from both targets and bystanders compared to low emotional investment. H2: Following a failed romantic pursuit with high emotional investment, pursuers will underestimate the evaluations of their behavior by both targets and bystanders. H3: This prediction bias is partly due to pursuers overemphasizing their own competence, while targets and bystanders place greater weight on the warmth conveyed during the pursuit. H4: Reminding pursuers of the warmth felt by targets and bystanders during the pursuit can reduce or eliminate this prediction bias. 3. Data Collection Methods Platform: Participants were recruited via the Credamo online platform. Design: Mixed between- and within-subjects designs were used across studies, with participants randomly assigned to roles (pursuer, target, bystander) and experimental conditions (high vs. low emotional investment, with or without warmth reminders). Materials: Textual scenarios, video clips from TV dramas, and daily-life pursuit descriptions were used as experimental stimuli. Measures: Evaluations were collected using 7-point Likert scales (1 = very low, 7 = very high). Dependent variables included ratings of liking, sincerity, appropriateness, warmth, and competence. Attention checks and manipulation checks were included to ensure data quality. Sample Sizes: Ranged from 113 to 245 participants per study group, with power analyses conducted to ensure adequate statistical power (1-β ≥ 0.80). 4. Key Findings Study 1: Confirmed H1. High emotional investment elicited significantly higher evaluations from both targets (M = 5.53 vs. 3.79, p < 0.001) and bystanders (M = 6.06 vs. 4.93, p < 0.001). Studies 2 & 3: Confirmed H2. Pursuers systematically underestimated evaluations from targets (e.g., M = 3.06 vs. 5.37, p < 0.001) and bystanders (e.g., M = 4.23 vs. 5.48, p < 0.001) across textual and video scenarios. Study 4: Confirmed H3. Competence and warmth mediated the prediction bias, with targets and bystanders weighting warmth more heavily than competence. Study 5: Confirmed H4. Reminding pursuers of the warmth felt by evaluators significantly reduced the prediction bias (e.g., pursuer-reminder vs. pursuer-control: M = 4.25 vs. 3.23, p < 0.001).

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Psychology

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