Rising Tides, Sinking Crops: Assessing the Impact of Extreme Sea Level Rise on Coastal Agriculture in Europe and North Africa
Description
This dataset maps the projected impact of Extreme Sea Level Rise (ESLR) on agricultural production across Europe and North Africa under five climate scenarios (Baseline, RCP 4.5 and 8.5 for 2050 and 2100) and three risk levels (5th, 50th, 95th percentiles). Using high-resolution elevation models and flood simulations based on JRC ESLR projections, the data identifies areas likely to be inundated. These are overlaid with GAEZ crop production data to estimate productivity and economic losses across 26 crops grouped into six major categories. Each raster cell indicates the percentage of land affected, expected crop loss, and associated economic value, providing a robust tool for assessing climate risks to coastal agriculture and informing adaptation strategies. Nations: Area in m2 vulnerable to an ESLR event for each scenario LC_Nations: Area in m2 vulnerable to an ESLR event for each scenario and for each LC class GAEZ_Nations: Productivity of each of 26 GAEZ+ crops for each ESLR scenario