Data for: Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda

Published: 2 Oct 2018 | Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/p52zbvpz4p.1

Description of this data

The archive file contains data on opinion polls on Scottish independence referendum (2014) and EU membership referendum (2016). It also contains R code, JAGS model and OpenBUGS code used to estimate the model parameters and forecasts of the outcome of the referendum.

Experiment data files

Latest version

  • Version 1


    Published: 2018-10-02

    DOI: 10.17632/p52zbvpz4p.1

    Cite this dataset

    Wiśniowski, Arkadiusz; Bijak, Jakub; Forster, Jonathan J. ; Smith, Peter W. F. (2018), “Data for: Hierarchical model for forecasting the outcomes of binary referenda”, Mendeley Data, v1


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The University of Manchester


Public Opinion, Forecasting, Statistical Modeling, Referendum, Bayesian Inference


CC BY 4.0 Learn more

The files associated with this dataset are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence.

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You can share, copy and modify this dataset so long as you give appropriate credit, provide a link to the CC BY license, and indicate if changes were made, but you may not do so in a way that suggests the rights holder has endorsed you or your use of the dataset. Note that further permission may be required for any content within the dataset that is identified as belonging to a third party.