What Drives Growth Transitions in India? Evidence from a Markov Switching Analysis of Regime Dynamics on in India

Published: 21 October 2025| Version 1 | DOI: 10.17632/w7m6gd2n82.1
Contributor:
Vineeta Sharma

Description

This work examines growth transitions in India as cyclical regime shifts, employing a Markov switching framework to identify three growth regimes - recessionary, moderate, and high growth during 1951-2022. It further examines the influence of domestic, external, and policy variables on regime-specific growth and transition probabilities.

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Economic Growth, Business Cycle

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