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- Biscayne Aquifer POMDP: ERA5-calibrated simulation data and Monte Carlo results# Biscayne Aquifer POMDP Experiment Companion code for: > Jakaite, L. & Schetinin, V. (2026). *A Unified POMDP Framework with Robust Satisficing, Directed Learning, and Real Options for Environmental Decisions under Deep Uncertainty.* Environmental Modelling & Software (submitted). --- ## Repository structure ``` biscayne/ biscayne_main.py # Main experiment — runs all 6 strategies make_graphical_abstract.py # Generates graphical abstract figure modules/ data_loader.py # USGS/NOAA groundwater data loader enso_loader.py # NOAA CPC ONI index loader regime_calibrator.py # HMM climate regime calibration (ERA5) obs_calibrator.py # Observation noise calibration salinity_proxy.py # Physics-based salinity proxy data/ raw/ # ERA5, NOAA sea-level, ONI, salinity proxy CSVs calibration_params.json # Pre-computed HMM parameters transition_matrix.csv # Calibrated regime transition matrix results/ dapp_final/ # Canonical results cited in the paper (n=1,000) mc_results.json # 6-strategy failure rates and costs fig_mc_comparison.png fig_barrier_timing.png fig_belief_trajectory.png fig_sensitivity_heatmap.png concept_colab.py # Conceptual illustration of Algorithm 1 requirements.txt ``` --- ## Reproducing the results ```bash pip install -r requirements.txt cd biscayne python biscayne_main.py --mc-trials 1000 --seed 42 ``` Expected output (`results/mc_results.json`): | Strategy | Failure rate | Cost | |---|---|---| | Unified Framework | 0.0 % | 34.2 | | RDM-Conservative (Lempert 2006) | 0.0 % | 35.7 | | DAPP (Haasnoot 2013) | 9.5 % | 118.9 | | Myopic POMDP | 41.6 % | — | | Robust Satisficing | 43.4 % | — | | BDT Baseline | 59.1 % | 393.9 | Runtime: ~3–5 minutes on a standard laptop (Python 3.10+). --- ## Data sources | Dataset | Source | Period | |---|---|---| | ERA5 precipitation | ECMWF open data | 2000–2023 | | NOAA Key West sea level | NOAA Tides & Currents | 2000–2023 | | ENSO ONI index | NOAA CPC | 2000–2023 | | Physics-based salinity proxy | Computed (see `modules/salinity_proxy.py`) | 2000–2023 | --- ## Conceptual illustration (optional) `concept_colab.py` is an interactive illustration of Algorithm 1 on a synthetic 6-step trajectory. It does not reproduce the paper's quantitative results but demonstrates the belief-update and decision logic in isolation. ```bash python concept_colab.py # Outputs: output/f4_reproduced.pdf, output/f5_reproduced.pdf ``` --- ## License MIT — see `LICENSE`.
- Calibrated Simulation of Individual Level Data for the Basic National Pension Scheme (Tier 1) in Ghana for the Periods 2015 to 2024This depository is the result of a calibrated microsimulation that generated the first individual-level dataset for Ghana’s Basic National Pension Scheme (Tier 1) for the period 2015 to 2024. The dataset combines publicly available annual aggregates from the Social Security and National Insurance Trust (SSNIT), National Pensions Regulatory Authority (NPRA) and the Ministry of Labour, Jobs and Employment (MLJE) with demographic, labour and mortality inputs from the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) and the United Nations World Population Prospects. Using stratified sampling, membership transition modeling and poststratification calibration, the dataset recreates contributors, retirees and non-members at fine age-sex resolution while exactly reproducing official totals on contributions and benefits/pensions. The resulting microdata support distributional analysis of earnings, contributions, pensions and replacement rates, as well as actuarial projections, policy simulations and research on pension adequacy, coverage expansion and long-term social protection financing in Ghana.
- Replication Data and Code for “Why Industrial Gas Prices Remained Elevated after Europe’s 2022 Energy Crisis: Evidence from Pre-crisis Russian Gas Dependence”This dataset contains the processed analysis data and replication code supporting the manuscript “Why Industrial Gas Prices Remained Elevated after Europe’s 2022 Energy Crisis: Evidence from Pre-crisis Russian Gas Dependence.” The study examines industrial gas-price persistence across twelve European Union member states over 2015–2024, with particular attention to pre-crisis Russian gas dependence, supplier diversification, and the industrial–wholesale price wedge following the 2022 European energy crisis. The repository contains an annual country panel (120 country-year observations), a semiannual panel used for the difference-in-differences and event-study analyses (240 potential observations; 239 usable observations), the Python replication script for the econometric analyses and robustness checks, the companion script for the calibrated simulation, and a README describing the files and reproduction procedure. The processed panels were constructed by the authors from publicly available Eurostat, IMF/FRED, and European Central Bank data. The replication code reproduces the principal fixed-effects estimates, difference-in-differences results, event-study estimates, robustness checks, supplementary analyses, and the calibrated simulation reported in the manuscript and supplementary materials. The underlying source data remain available from their original public providers and are cited in the manuscript.
- In-season Corn Yield Prediction Using Satellite-derived Solar-Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence and Machine Learning Algorithms dataThis data is for the U.S. Corn Belt (US-CB), a major agricultural region characterized by intensive corn cultivation. The data includes 210 counties consistently dominated by corn production, selected based on their suitability for sub-pixel SIF disaggregation and inclusion in the USDA’s annual yield reporting. The data include five growing seasons: 2015, 2016, 2018, 2019, and 2020. The year 2017 was excluded from the data due to incomplete satellite data caused by sensor malfunction. Annual corn yield records were obtained from the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (USDA-NASS). County-level yield data, measured in tons per hectare, are generated using a combination of farmer-reported surveys, field assessments, and calibrated simulation models. This integration ensures their reliability as ground-truth references for both training and validating predictive models. Their consistent spatial resolution and broad temporal span across the U.S. Corn Belt make them a solid basis for model development and performance testing. Standard satellite-derived SIF products are provided at coarse spatial resolutions, complicating their use in heterogeneous agricultural landscapes. To overcome this limitation, I applied a sub-pixel extraction method developed by Kira and Sun (2020), which uses high-resolution land cover and crop maps to isolate the contribution of corn within each SIF pixel. This technique allowed for the derivation of corn-specific SIF values at the county level, minimizing contamination from other crops or land covers.
- Replication data and code for: Quasi-Differentiated Oligopoly: State Support, Financial Asymmetry and Competition in India's Mobile Telecommunications MarketThis dataset contains the data and Python code that reproduce every computed table, figure and in-text statistic of the article "Quasi-Differentiated Oligopoly: State Support, Financial Asymmetry and Competition in India's Mobile Market", submitted to Telecommunications Policy. The data comprise six components. (1) An operator × circle × month panel of mobile subscriptions for India's 22 licensed service areas, March 2021 to July 2026, reconstructed from 64 monthly press releases of the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), with the text of each release. (2) An operator-quarter panel of ARPU, revenue, EBITDA and profit for Reliance Jio, Bharti Airtel, Vodafone Idea and BSNL, June 2021 to December 2025, reconciled against the source documents. (3) Annual cash flows of the four operators, FY2021–22 to FY2024–25, transcribed line by line from audited statements, including BSNL's state transfers recorded in its notes. (4) Vodafone Idea quarterly liquidity, debt and government dues. (5) Network latency by operator and circle from TRAI quality-of-service reports. (6) Hand-collected records of state support instruments, court and government decisions, tariff revisions, corporate actions and ownership. The code estimates concentration, a liquidity bridge, structural breaks and slope changes with simulation-calibrated inference, market-model event studies with ownership look-through and multiplicity correction, imputation event studies of subscriptions around tariff revisions with jackknife and placebo inference, the net fiscal cost of support and break-even thresholds, and symbolic checks of the theoretical propositions. Every value is documented with its source. Daily share prices were obtained from a commercial vendor and are not redistributed; a download script, the list of securities and dates, and checksums are included. README.md maps every table and figure to its script, and CODEBOOK.md defines every variable.
- Heilongjiang renewable utilization, GEC prices, and simulation calibration dataThis dataset supports the manuscript “Renewable curtailment under China’s mechanism-settled electricity reform: A three-party evolutionary game analysis of green certificate pricing”, submitted to Energy Policy. The dataset contains the processed inputs and simulation materials used to examine whether green electricity certificate (GEC) prices can contribute to renewable curtailment reduction after China’s Notice No. 136. It includes author-compiled renewable utilization data for Heilongjiang Province in 2025, official monthly GEC price anchors, policy-stage classification, scenario-calibrated model parameters, GEC-price perturbation settings, and simulation outputs for the August transition-stage and October post-implementation experiments. The renewable utilization data are derived from publicly available official and sectoral sources and are processed into monthly wind, photovoltaic, and composite renewable utilization indicators. The GEC price anchors are based on official monthly green certificate market bulletins. Other model parameters, including mechanism-settlement proxies, market-price proxies, behavioral parameters, and sensitivity ranges, are scenario-calibrated values used for mechanism-testing simulation rather than directly observed market data. The dataset is intended to improve transparency and reproducibility of the perturbation experiments reported in the manuscript. The accompanying simulation code or pseudocode reproduces the main scenario-calibrated results, including the identification of stage-specific effective GEC-price windows and the comparison between August and October policy environments.
- Democracy-CSR calibrated datasetCalibrated dataset created for set-theoretic analysis of the relations between Democracy, Rule of Law, Internationalisation, Corporate Governance, and GNIpc in producing the outcome of CSR adoption.
- Shape Memory Behavior of PU/PCL-ZnO Nanocomposites for Cardiovascular Stent Applications: Experimental Evaluation and Finite Element SimulationThis dataset contains all raw and processed experimental data, SEM images, and finite element simulation files supporting the findings of the related research article. Includes DMA data, shape memory test results, recovery stress measurements, calibrated Prony series parameters, WLF constants, Abaqus input files, and validation plots.
- Data for: Do wastewater pollutants impact oxygen transfer in aerated horizontal flow wetlands?This file contains simulation model input files for the simulations carried out including a windows executable and the source code for the simulation software OGS v5. details: - exe/ windows executables for the software ogs5 - ogs5/ source code of ogs5 - calibration/ recalibrated process models, model calibrated on data calibration by Boog (2019) - validation/ validated process model, model validated on data cross-validation by Boog (2019) - scenario_analysis/ process model used for scenario_analysis - how_to_run_simulations.pdf/ guideline how to run simulations on win and linux OS - file_orga.csv details of model input files
- propulsion_systemThis package accompanies the manuscript on an integrated SysML–Modelica workflow for propulsion-system modeling, co-simulation, and validation. The purpose is to: (1) demonstrate the end-to-end workflow; and (2) allow readers to execute the supplied Modelica/co-simulation project and inspect the system structure and interface mapping. The model framework and workflow artifacts are shared in full. The parameter sets and datasets included in this package are synthetic or modified such that the resulting simulation outputs resemble the trends shown in the paper, but they do not correspond to the confidential bench-calibrated values used in the actual experiments. They are provided solely to verify workflow consistency and to allow users to experience the complete simulation and validation process. These files therefore enable reproduction of the modeling and validation workflow, but not reproduction of the quantitative experimental results. Users wishing to obtain quantitative fidelity on their own hardware should perform parameter identification/calibration using their own experimental data and controller–actuator configuration.